Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kennedy * | 35 | 10-19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Morris * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Hayes * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Crawford | 22 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Adetula | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| R. Bradley | 11 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Perry | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Moss | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Carrier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCants * | 34 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 10-11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| A. Roche * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. May * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| M. Williams | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Noel | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Scott | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter