Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bailey | 32 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Angley | 30 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Perkins | 29 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 9-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| T. Niesen | 28 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E. Rohde | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Legge | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Parham | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Henke | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Borchart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Dougherty | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis | 33 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Martin | 32 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Criswell | 31 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Strait | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Farr | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 22 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| C. Easley | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| V. Matthews | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter