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2004-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 82.2% 17.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% -
Log Adjusted 77.5% 22.5% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bailey 32 3-10 2-7 0-0 7 6 0 0 3 8 8 -
B. Angley 30 3-10 2-4 0-0 0 5 2 0 1 8 4 -
D. Perkins 29 6-13 2-6 9-12 5 3 1 2 0 23 21 -
T. Niesen 28 5-14 0-0 4-4 6 2 4 0 4 14 8 -
E. Rohde 21 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
J. Legge 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Parham 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
M. Henke 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 1 0 -
S. Borchart 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
S. Dougherty 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Davis 33 2-11 0-1 6-8 11 3 0 0 4 10 9 -
M. Martin 32 5-14 3-9 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 13 7 -
K. Criswell 31 6-11 1-5 4-4 4 4 2 0 1 17 15 -
A. Strait 28 4-5 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
L. Farr 23 2-3 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 3 6 5 -
M. Dlouhy 22 5-9 2-4 3-5 6 3 1 1 4 15 13 -
C. Easley 14 2-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
V. Matthews 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Seyfert 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter