Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brooks | 36 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. Randolph | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Works | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| K. Korver | 25 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P. Eggers | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nate Richie | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| L. Houston | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bryant | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bancroft | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Tracy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Williams | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Micheal Morris | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Arthur-Williams | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Matt Nelson | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jon Rakiecki | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Phillip Thomasson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Verwers | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Patterson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter