Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +19 (69-50). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Titchenal | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. McGinn | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Johnson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Jones | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Haskins | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Whiten | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Manley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gardner | 40 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Guilbeaux | 40 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. McFadden | 35 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Marquin Chandler | 30 | 9-13 | 4-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| A. Elam | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| M. Misko | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. White | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Fresby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter