Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -12 (60-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown | 37 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D. Williams | 36 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Head | 35 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Powell | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| J. Augustine | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Nick Smith | 16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. McBride | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Ingram | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| W. Carter | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 34 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 1-7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 30 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Hill | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - |
| O. Famutimi | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J. Modica | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Townes | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Michael Jones | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter