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2004-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 70.2% 29.8% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -11 (51-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walker * 37 4-11 2-5 2-2 5 2 1 1 1 12 9 -
R. Carney * 32 4-10 1-3 0-0 5 1 2 1 4 9 4 -
D. Washington Jr. * 31 8-15 1-2 0-3 2 1 3 0 5 17 3 -
A. Rice * 27 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 1 2 7 5 -
J. Dorsey * 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 3 0 4 16 -
J. Hunt 29 2-6 1-2 0-1 2 4 1 0 2 5 4 -
D. Erwin 26 3-4 0-0 2-3 2 1 3 0 1 8 9 -
A. Thiero 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKnight * 39 3-11 1-5 2-2 7 4 3 1 4 9 9 -
D. Teague * 37 6-19 3-10 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 15 -1 -
S. Heber * 36 6-14 0-2 5-6 5 1 2 1 3 17 9 -
C. Landry * 32 2-7 0-0 4-4 9 4 1 0 3 8 12 -
B. Dillon * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
X. Price 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 0 -2 -
M. Carroll 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Andrew Ford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Ware 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter