Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Young * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Douglas * | 38 | 11-18 | 5-9 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 18 | - |
| N. Watson * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Q. Brown * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Hayles * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. LeMelle | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Jackson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McLean * | 36 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| E. Brown * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 30 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| J. Clark * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 31 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| G. Forbes | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Bannister | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Joseph | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter