Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +14 (64-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
| Model | Mercer Bears | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +14 (64-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.