Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (31.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +35 (77-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
| Model | Belmont Bruins | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (31.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +35 (77-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.