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2004-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ—
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 โœ— (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—

Actual: UCF Knights -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bender 34 2-12 1-4 4-4 6 3 1 0 1 9 6 -
C. Gash 32 2-9 2-6 3-6 7 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
T. Jennings 31 4-8 2-6 4-7 4 0 0 0 1 14 9 -
A. Manning 25 1-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 3 0 1 3 1 -
S. Conn 22 6-9 0-1 2-4 6 0 1 0 3 14 9 -
M. Jones 18 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 4 4 -
T.J. McCullough 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 0 5 10 -
J. Chiles 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Z. Jelenic 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Didion 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Noonan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Yelle 37 4-10 3-7 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 11 5 -
W. Bakanowsky 36 4-8 2-4 1-2 14 0 2 0 3 11 16 -
A. Williams 26 3-5 0-0 4-8 6 1 0 2 2 10 12 -
J. Nash 26 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 2 1 -
J. Peppers 23 4-10 0-4 3-4 1 1 0 1 2 11 2 -
M. Avant 22 2-4 1-3 1-3 3 0 0 2 0 6 7 -
J. Rose 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Johnson 8 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
T. Lindbeck 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter