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Northern Colorado Bears 54
@
Air Force Falcons 63
2004-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - ✓
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 ✓ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kline 36 0-5 0-2 7-7 0 4 2 0 2 7 6 -
S. Nolen 35 5-11 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 5 -
E. Olson 32 5-6 2-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 4 12 13 -
J. Randle 27 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 8 4 -
K. Archibeque 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
S. Taibi 18 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
T. Steward 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 1 2 -
M. Gordy 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
P. Brockman 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hood 37 3-10 3-8 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 10 2 -
N. Welch 35 6-10 2-5 1-1 6 4 0 1 6 15 10 -
T. Keller 33 2-8 1-6 1-4 2 4 3 1 1 6 7 -
J. Burtschi 30 1-2 0-1 3-4 6 3 3 0 1 5 14 -
M. McCraw 24 5-9 5-9 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 17 15 -
T. Anderson 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
C. Buchanan 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Holum 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Dillinger 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter