Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +38 (105-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Simpson * | 33 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Castro * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Hopkins * | 24 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D. Roberts * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Isham | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Pearson | 27 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Killen | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Knowles | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ross * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Marshall * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Dora * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Giles * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Ofoegbu | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Coffman | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Zeno | 17 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| L. White | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Suljagic | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Ogden | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter