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2004-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Navy Midshipmen Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (1.9 off)

Actual: Navy Midshipmen +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brand 34 2-10 1-5 2-2 4 1 2 1 1 7 4 -
C. Grant 30 6-12 1-2 2-4 3 1 3 1 3 15 8 -
A. Andrews 27 4-8 0-0 1-4 5 2 1 0 2 9 7 -
T. Berkley 20 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Lawler 16 1-4 0-0 3-4 1 4 3 0 1 5 8 -
R. Timus 16 3-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
A. Evans 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 -
M. Stuart 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 4 1 -
K. Aujla 11 1-3 1-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Mathis 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 4 3 -
T. Terrell 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
C. Warfield 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McIver 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mergerson 37 7-11 0-0 7-10 10 3 1 1 4 21 21 -
T. Mathews 33 1-9 1-6 8-10 3 3 1 1 3 11 7 -
C. Johnson 33 1-8 1-5 3-4 5 3 2 0 7 6 1 -
T. Keane 26 2-4 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 0 6 6 4 -
D. Hooper 25 5-5 2-2 5-7 5 1 0 0 1 17 17 -
L. Green 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
C. Baldwin 15 6-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 3 14 9 -
D. Rhoiney 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. O'Garro 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter