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2004-12-01

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Log Adjusted 53.8% 46.2% -

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Plummer * 34 5-7 0-0 2-5 6 1 4 0 2 12 14 -
M. Scott * 23 5-10 2-4 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 14 12 -
W. Williams * 23 2-4 1-3 4-4 1 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
M. Jones * 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 4 4 -
J. Cripe * 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
B. Roberts 22 2-11 0-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 6 1 -
T. Meacham 18 3-7 2-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 10 3 -
J. Binnie 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Alvarez 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
M. Bennett 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Seals * 36 4-7 1-2 3-3 1 0 0 0 3 12 3 -
Q. Greer * 35 10-17 2-3 7-13 7 2 0 0 4 29 17 -
D. Diener * 34 4-8 3-5 3-3 4 5 0 0 2 14 13 -
S. Mejia * 33 2-7 0-3 1-2 5 4 0 1 3 5 5 -
M. Brumfield * 23 2-2 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 0 1 5 13 -
J. Nichols 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 1 4 2 8 -
C. Clinkscales 11 1-3 0-0 1-3 0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Malone 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Heard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter