Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.3 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Cooper * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Lewis * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| D. Vance * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| P. Jeter | 37 | 9-17 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 14 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Gahlmann | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sullivan | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Averette | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.S. Nash * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| L. Hurd * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Cuic * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Derek Potter * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Stephens | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| J. Fontenet | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| H. Brown | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Jeffers | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Weathers | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter