Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 13 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. McCants * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. May * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Noel | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Scott | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Strickland * | 37 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Wright * | 37 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| R. Vaden * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| P. Ewing Jr. * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D.J. White | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Tapak | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Kline | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hardy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter