Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -4 (44-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brown * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Clark * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. McLean * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 33 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| G. Forbes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Bannister | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Joseph | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vukusic * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Parker * | 40 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Duvancic * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Hachad * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Doyle * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Lee | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Seacat | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter