Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 44 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| F. Abdelsamad | 39 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Moore | 30 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Stearns | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Butts | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harris | 40 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 13-14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| A. Bausley | 38 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Freeman | 37 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| A. Perry | 36 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jameel Pugh | 29 | 4-18 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -1 | - |
| S. McKay | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Gilzene | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter