🐻⬇️🏀

Creighton Bluejays 73
@
Xavier Musketeers 72
2004-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 ✗ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.8% 37.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - ✓

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McKinney 33 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 5 3 0 0 6 9 -
N. Funk 29 6-14 4-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 18 4 -
J. Mathies 25 0-4 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 1 4 -
D. Watts 23 7-10 2-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 18 11 -
J. Day 21 2-6 0-0 3-3 2 3 0 4 0 7 10 -
J. Motz 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 3 7 -
K. Miliner 19 5-7 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 12 9 -
A. Tolliver 16 1-5 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
P. Hibma 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Doellman 33 4-8 2-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
B. Thornton 32 9-11 0-0 1-3 10 1 0 0 2 19 17 -
D. Finn 31 2-9 1-5 3-4 4 6 0 0 2 8 7 -
J. Cage 31 5-7 0-0 3-3 2 2 3 1 2 13 12 -
S. Burrell 31 4-12 1-4 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 11 4 -
K. Jackson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
C. Odia 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 3 7 -
W. Caudle 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -
J. Duncan 9 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -

* = starter