Model Predictions
| Model | IUPUI Jaguars | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
IUPUI Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Clark | 39 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Cole | 38 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| G. Hill | 34 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Miller | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Booyer | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Vavrek | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Crawford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Shanks | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. King | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Byles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Mills | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Boerjan | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. West | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Josh Hare | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Gulina | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Merritt | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter