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2004-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Margin 79.9% 20.1% -7.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Haluska * 38 5-10 2-5 9-10 8 2 2 0 0 21 23 -
J. Horner * 37 6-13 3-8 6-8 8 6 2 0 3 21 21 -
P. Pierce * 31 7-12 1-3 0-2 4 2 3 0 8 15 4 -
G. Brunner * 28 3-7 0-1 2-3 4 1 1 2 3 8 6 -
C. Reed 23 4-6 2-4 4-4 1 0 1 0 2 14 8 -
M. Henderson 14 3-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 8 5 -
A. Thompson 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Thomas 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Gorney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.R. Angle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks * 30 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Randolph * 30 2-9 0-2 4-6 4 8 6 0 7 8 10 -
N. Works * 26 11-17 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 5 2 23 17 -
P. Eggers * 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 2 2 -
K. Korver 29 6-12 4-8 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 18 15 -
B. Heemskerk 22 6-9 1-2 1-5 9 0 1 0 0 14 15 -
Nate Richie 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
C. Bryant 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Houston 10 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -5 -
S. Tracy 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
D. Bancroft 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter