Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Frazier | 33 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 32 | 8-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| I. Boylan | 24 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Washington | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. White | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Cook | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Heard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Locke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Criswell | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 12-16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| M. Martin | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 11 | - |
| K. Davis | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Farr | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Strait | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Easley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Lynch | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Matthews | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter