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2004-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 71.0% 29.0% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Creason 41 7-7 0-0 3-7 10 2 0 2 5 17 19 -
M. Williams 41 3-10 0-1 6-6 7 2 1 3 5 12 10 -
S. Arthur-Williams 37 3-11 2-4 1-3 3 4 1 0 3 9 3 -
M. Morris 31 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 7 -1 -
J. Smith 29 6-10 0-0 2-6 7 2 0 3 2 14 14 -
J. Rakiecki 22 4-10 3-9 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 13 6 -
P. Thomasson 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 2 5 -
A. Patterson 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
S. Verwers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Young 43 7-19 4-10 4-4 8 5 2 1 1 22 18 -
T. Douglas 42 9-22 0-5 5-6 5 2 3 0 1 23 10 -
N. Watson 39 4-11 1-6 0-0 5 0 2 2 0 9 7 -
Q. Brown 31 4-9 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
D. Hayles 23 2-3 0-1 1-2 5 0 3 0 2 5 8 -
R. LeMelle 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
F. Tolbert 15 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 -
R. Daniel 10 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
M. Edun 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Gaines 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter