Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Creason | 41 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| M. Williams | 41 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Arthur-Williams | 37 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Morris | 31 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 22 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Patterson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Verwers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Young | 43 | 7-19 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| T. Douglas | 42 | 9-22 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| N. Watson | 39 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Q. Brown | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Hayles | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. LeMelle | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| R. Daniel | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Edun | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gaines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter