Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma State Cowboys | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -19 (57-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lucas III * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| D. Bobik * | 31 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Graham * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| I. McFarlin * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 6 | - |
| F. Steyn * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Graham | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Terrence Crawford | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Monds | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Curry | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Dove | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Pettway | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins * | 36 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Castro * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| P. Simpson * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| J. Isham * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Pearson * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Roberts | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Knowles | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Killen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter