Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +28 (93-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Titchenal | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| G. Jones | 28 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Haskins | 25 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Whiten | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| P. Johnson | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. McGinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dominguez | 26 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Lewis | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Cooper | 24 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| P. Jeter | 23 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Vance | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| S. Smith | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Sullivan | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Wilson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Averette | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Aaker | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Gahlmann | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Watson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Wanless | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter