Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +32 (97-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McMillan * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E. Craven * | 23 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Betz-White * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. O'Neil * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Craven * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Pruitt | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Shackleford | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| G. Guenther Jr. | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Curtis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Young | 11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Willis | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Penrose | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCants * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Roche * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| S. May * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 21 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 21 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Scott | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Noel | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Terry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Everett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Grant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter