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2004-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +9 (66-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Vukusic * 39 9-21 2-7 5-5 9 0 0 1 3 25 11 -
M. Hachad * 37 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 8 7 -
D. Duvancic * 34 1-8 0-3 0-1 7 1 2 1 1 2 4 -
T. Doyle * 31 5-11 1-3 0-2 4 4 0 1 2 11 7 -
T.J. Parker * 28 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 8 2 -
E. Seacat 17 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
A. Carson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
B. Lee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Roby * 38 8-17 0-2 0-0 13 0 3 2 5 16 12 -
J. Obazuaye * 33 4-10 0-0 6-11 4 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
J. Ashby * 31 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 2 0 10 14 -
A. Osborn * 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 0 4 -
G. Eddy * 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
M. Hall 33 1-5 1-3 2-4 2 2 1 0 0 5 5 -
C. Copeland 25 5-9 1-2 4-4 10 1 0 1 3 15 15 -
L. Arrington 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
A. McGee 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter