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2004-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 2.3% 97.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% -
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -14 (53-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Owen 35 10-14 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 2 1 21 19 -
Darren Brooks 28 4-8 0-0 3-4 2 3 2 0 3 11 7 -
S. Hairston 28 4-8 3-7 4-6 1 4 0 0 4 15 8 -
T. Young 28 0-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 2 1 1 2 3 -
Josh Warren 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
J. Tatum 22 4-5 0-0 1-2 2 4 3 1 3 9 11 -
M. Dale 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Falker 10 2-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Shaw 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Foster 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 33 4-11 3-5 3-4 2 2 1 0 5 14 3 -
J. Terrell 32 4-9 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 2 1 8 8 -
C. Smith 26 3-10 1-5 0-1 3 2 0 0 4 7 -2 -
J. Holwerda 23 2-3 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 2 6 8 -
S. Foster 20 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
D. Carroll 20 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
D. Przybyszewski 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Gordon 11 0-3 0-2 9-9 0 0 1 0 2 9 5 -
D. Cage 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
T. Skuchas 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Metcalfe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter