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2004-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% -
Log Adjusted 79.6% 20.4% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -25 (70-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 35 5-11 4-8 2-2 4 5 3 0 4 16 13 -
P.J. Tucker * 29 4-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 6 11 6 -
D. Gibson * 28 5-12 2-8 7-9 3 6 3 0 2 19 17 -
L. Aldridge * 25 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
B. Buckman * 20 4-8 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 1 0 11 10 -
K. Paulino 23 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Klotz 20 5-9 0-1 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 10 11 -
S. Harris 17 4-4 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
D. Dowell 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Gracely 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Price 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Crump * 31 4-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 0 5 8 3 -
S. McFadgon * 28 3-11 3-10 4-4 1 0 0 0 3 13 0 -
C. Lofton * 20 3-8 3-5 0-0 0 1 3 0 0 9 5 -
A. Patterson * 19 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
C.J. Watson 36 6-8 1-2 6-9 5 2 4 0 5 19 17 -
M. Wingate 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
S. Asumnu 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Howell 13 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Hendrix 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bradshaw 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
J. Smith 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
F. Smithwick 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. DeVoe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Gash 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter