Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.