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2004-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% -
Bradley-Terry 7.9% 92.1% -
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 (1.7 off)
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noah Brown * 35 6-13 4-10 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 17 7 -
D.J. Thompson * 25 1-9 1-4 1-3 2 4 1 0 3 4 -1 -
C. Deas * 21 2-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
C. Ceazer * 20 1-4 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
N. Cranford * 16 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
C. McFarland 27 5-11 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 10 4 -
J. Elliott 25 5-8 1-1 3-6 6 4 1 1 3 14 15 -
C. Davis 13 0-1 0-1 0-1 3 2 1 0 5 0 0 -
J. Clayton 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
D. McLaughlin-Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. James 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. McMillan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Marshall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Polk 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brown * 36 9-17 0-0 6-8 12 1 0 2 2 24 20 -
J. Clark * 24 3-8 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
M. McLean * 24 1-5 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
S. Singletary * 22 2-7 0-4 4-4 1 4 1 0 4 8 3 -
J.R. Reynolds 31 4-9 2-5 6-6 7 0 1 0 3 16 12 -
G. Forbes 24 3-7 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
T. Bannister 20 2-5 0-0 6-6 1 3 2 0 2 10 9 -
A. Joseph 13 1-1 0-0 0-3 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Minter 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Nacey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter