Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (106-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horner * | 34 | 6-8 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 19 | - |
| P. Pierce * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Thomas | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Thompson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Henderson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Reed | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Gorney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.R. Angle | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Brownlee | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wieck | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| R. McCants * | 27 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| S. May * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 23 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| M. Williams | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Scott | 18 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Noel | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Grant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Everett | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Terry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter