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2004-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 3.0% 97.0% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% -
Log Adjusted 88.8% 11.2% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -1 (60-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shakur * 44 5-12 1-3 2-4 8 6 2 0 4 13 13 -
H. Adams * 41 4-14 0-3 2-4 6 1 0 1 3 10 1 -
I. Radenovic * 33 5-15 1-4 1-2 10 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
C. Frye * 31 2-14 0-0 3-6 13 3 0 0 1 7 8 -
S. Stoudamire * 30 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 5 8 1 -
J. McClellan 20 3-4 1-2 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 11 11 -
C. Rodgers 20 0-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
I. Fox 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 44 6-22 2-10 2-4 4 4 0 1 3 16 0 -
D. Horton * 37 4-9 2-4 3-5 2 6 3 0 4 13 11 -
B. Petway * 29 4-5 0-1 0-2 8 0 2 1 1 8 13 -
G. Brown * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Hunter 23 4-10 0-2 3-4 4 0 1 1 1 11 6 -
C. Sims 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Andrews 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
R. Coleman 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
S. Harrell 14 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -

* = starter