Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +2 (52-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 16 | - |
| B. Boerjan | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Gulina | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Merritt | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Mills | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Josh Hare | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. West | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Law | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Jointer | 30 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| S. Cowherd | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Collins | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Pate | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Gordon | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Northern | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Smith | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Ba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter