Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Tennessee Volunteers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -13 (81-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 33 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. McCants * | 30 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 19 | - |
| S. May * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 22 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Scott | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Noel | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Terry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Grant | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Everett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lofton * | 29 | 8-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| A. Patterson * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| S. McFadgon * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Crump * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 35 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Wingate | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Howell | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Hendrix | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Bradshaw | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Smith | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Asumnu | 4 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter