Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -18 (75-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Przybyszewski | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| M. Moore | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| T. Skuchas | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Smith | 25 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| J. Holwerda | 24 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Cage | 17 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Gordon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Foster | 14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Carroll | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Terrell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Metcalfe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hammond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Chitwood | 32 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| J. Frazier | 22 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. White | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Cook | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Washington | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| I. Boylan | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Heard | 15 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Smith | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Locke | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter