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2004-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibson * 36 4-10 3-6 3-5 2 6 0 0 5 14 7 -
K. Taylor * 29 6-14 2-6 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 15 5 -
B. Buckman * 29 7-12 2-4 2-6 11 3 1 1 4 18 18 -
P.J. Tucker * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
L. Aldridge * 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
J. Klotz 23 3-7 1-1 4-6 6 1 0 1 1 11 11 -
S. Harris 22 4-6 3-4 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 12 11 -
K. Paulino 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Dowell 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 39 8-15 6-10 5-6 4 6 1 0 2 27 21 -
P. Pierce * 34 7-18 3-7 1-6 7 7 4 0 2 18 16 -
G. Brunner * 30 5-12 0-2 7-9 8 4 1 0 3 17 15 -
E. Hansen * 29 4-10 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 4 3 11 8 -
A. Haluska * 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
M. Henderson 19 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
D. Thomas 14 0-1 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 1 0 3 9 -
A. Thompson 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Reed 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter