Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -15 (57-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.