Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.6% | 92.4% | +13.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Montgomery | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Spencer | 34 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| I. Wells | 32 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| D. Tipler | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Durham | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Nichols | 11 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Ardison | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Washington Jr. | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Walker | 33 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 10-13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 27 | - |
| R. Carney | 32 | 6-21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Rice | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Hunt | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| D. Erwin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Dorsey | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - |
| A. Thiero | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Beavers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Njoya | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Arthur Barclay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter