Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +26.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +25 (66-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gogerty | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Feeley | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Zito | 27 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Hodges | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Bilal | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Knight | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Gaskin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Housman | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Feckoua | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Dinkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Fisk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nardi | 35 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Foye | 34 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Sumpter | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Ray | 26 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| W. Sheridan | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Charles | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Austin | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Fraser | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Dunleavy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Grace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter