Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +20 (73-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chapman * | 38 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Stovall * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Trammell * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Mills * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| A. Kent * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Howland | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Yates | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. McCollom | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bennett | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hayes * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 32 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Morris * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Bradley | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Crawford | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Adetula | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Moss | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Perry | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Stockton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Carrier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter