Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -4 (56-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.