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2004-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% -
Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +27 (99-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gamboa 32 3-6 2-5 2-3 4 1 2 0 1 10 10 -
E. Draughan 30 6-12 2-3 5-6 2 3 2 0 6 19 8 -
S. Kaplan 27 1-6 0-0 3-4 2 2 1 0 3 5 1 -
D. Martin 21 3-5 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 1 3 7 7 -
C. Holmes 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
C. Hughes 21 9-13 0-0 2-5 10 0 1 0 2 20 16 -
J. Wheat 15 0-3 0-0 1-4 1 1 0 0 2 1 -2 -
E. Flato 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 5 -5 -
M. Kyle 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Upshaw 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Greenberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Abromaitis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bethel 29 5-12 3-4 2-2 3 5 3 0 1 15 13 -
J. Levy 28 2-8 0-1 1-1 11 2 3 1 0 5 14 -
T. Downey 24 2-7 0-2 1-1 3 5 3 0 5 5 4 -
T. Strickland 20 3-4 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 0 2 10 11 -
V. Danelius 20 3-8 0-4 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
E. Williams 19 7-9 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 2 2 15 12 -
J. Gray 18 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 9 4 -
C. Ellis 18 4-6 2-2 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 14 12 -
K. Visser 14 3-3 0-0 9-12 4 1 1 1 1 15 18 -
R. Joyce 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Buck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter