Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +36 (86-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jensen * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Hall * | 25 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| T. Nashif * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -2 | - |
| G. Meads * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Rose * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| K. Young | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Ainge | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Burgess | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| C. Miles | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Burgess | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dawes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 26 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. May * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. McCants * | 22 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Williams | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Noel | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| M. Scott | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Grant | 4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Sanders | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Everett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter