Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Castro | 42 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Pearson | 36 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. Simpson | 35 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| B. Hopkins | 34 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Isham | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Roberts | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Killen | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Ritter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Brown | 39 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 12 | - |
| L. Ball | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Moss | 30 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| M. Towsley | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Woodall | 25 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Miller | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Durham | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Durr | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Pratt | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter