Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +10.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nolen | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| E. Olson | 31 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Kline | 30 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| K. Archibeque | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Randle | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Taibi | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Steward | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Gordy | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Brockman | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Yarbrough | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Youtchou | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nelson | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 6 | - |
| M. Morris | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Arthur-Williams | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Patterson | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Creason | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| N. Ball | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Verwers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter