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2004-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -15 (61-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Axton 37 5-10 1-4 9-11 5 2 0 0 1 20 16 -
D. Smith 34 4-6 2-3 3-4 6 1 2 0 0 13 16 -
D. Pariseau 32 5-8 1-3 0-2 5 8 2 0 3 11 15 -
E. Henkel 26 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
J. Beitinger 23 5-10 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 5 12 4 -
M. Nelson 15 6-10 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 12 12 -
H. Bekkering 11 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
Jeremy McCulloch 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Loe 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Nicholas 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Greenwell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stockalper 29 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 4 4 -
G. Jones 24 2-11 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 5 -5 -
Mike Titchenal 24 2-3 1-2 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
P. Johnson 22 4-8 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 2 2 11 9 -
A. Haskins 20 3-6 0-1 1-1 8 1 0 0 1 7 9 -
D. Whiten 20 1-6 1-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
N. Enzweiler 20 3-8 1-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 7 4 -
L. Finnegan 16 3-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 8 1 -
V. Lisinac 10 1-4 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
Z. Thurow 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
T. McGinn 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter