🐻⬇️🏀

@
2004-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% -
Bradley-Terry 8.3% 91.7% -
Margin 2.8% 97.2% +19.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Lynch 31 3-11 2-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 8 2 -
K. Davis 29 4-10 0-0 7-11 11 1 0 0 5 15 12 -
M. Dlouhy 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
M. Martin 23 4-9 2-4 0-1 2 1 2 0 5 10 1 -
V. Matthews 23 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 10 3 -
C. Easley 22 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 2 2 3 3 -
L. Farr 21 3-6 1-1 2-3 4 4 0 0 1 9 10 -
J. Seyfert 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
A. Strait 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. McKay 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
N. Thierry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio 39 1-6 1-5 5-8 2 13 7 0 3 8 21 -
A. Morrison 32 8-15 0-2 3-3 6 0 2 0 0 19 12 -
R. Turiaf 30 7-12 0-1 6-6 8 0 0 2 1 20 17 -
S. Mallon 29 8-11 1-1 4-7 7 2 0 1 2 21 18 -
N. Doudney 28 0-7 0-5 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 0 2 -
D. Pendergraft 23 2-5 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 2 1 2 9 -
C. MacLeod 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Michaelson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Floyd 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter