Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | +24.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +26 (67-41). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jones | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Delvin Thompson | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Jackson | 27 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Frazier | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Chandler | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Jackson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Landfair | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Wyatt | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| F. Cole | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| P. Horton | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Roberts | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Keller | 30 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Hood | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Dillinger | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jacob Burtschi | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Welch | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Anderson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. McCraw | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Holum | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Peterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Frye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Teets | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Swan | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Hood | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter