Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frye * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| S. Stoudamire * | 38 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | - |
| H. Adams * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Shakur * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Fox * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Radenovic | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Rodgers | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. McClellan | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Verdejo | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Tangara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dillon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brown * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Clark * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. McLean * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 33 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Forbes | 16 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Bannister | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Joseph | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Minter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Soroye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter